UKRAINIAN WORLD CONGRESS

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DAY 366

Victory Chronicles
-DAY 366

February 24,2023

KEY TAKEAWAYS TODAY: LOSING AGGRESSOR PREPARING FALSE FLAGS TO WIDEN WAR ON ONE-YEAR ANNIVERSARY

Above:  March of Unity, Kyiv, February 12, 2022. (Holos Ameriki)


Above:  Russian embassy in London, Feb 24, 2023. (Led by Donkeys)

  • Russian-controlled schools in Melitopol, Zaporizhia, are preparing to compel Ukrainian children to work in Russian pseudo-military programs with the intention of militarizing and indoctrinating children with pro-Russian sentiment.
  • Russia is preparing possible false flag operations in the border areas of Chernihiv Oblast with Belarus and Odesa Oblast with Moldova. Ukrainian intelligence has observed Russian convoys with unmarked military equipment and personnel dressed in uniforms resembling those of the Ukrainian military moving to areas near the Chernihiv Oblast border, possibly with the intention of accusing Ukraine of violating the territorial integrity of Belarus, thereby forcing Belarus into the war following Belarusian President Lukashenka’s February 16 statement that Belarus would only enter the war if attacked by Ukraine.
  • The Kremlin also appears to be setting information conditions to stage a false flag operation in occupied Transnistria, Moldova. The Russian Ministry of Defense claimed on February 23 that Ukraine is planning an armed provocation against Transnistria in the near future.The Moldovan government denied the allegations. Moscow likely seeks to foster this false narrative to further its destabilization actions in Moldova in the face of Ukrainian and Polish pledges to support Moldovan sovereignty.
  • The Kremlin continues to try to fix troop morale and discipline problems by promising money and benefits, this time trying to placate newly-integrated DNR and LNR militias – who have expressed concern over the Russian MoD imposing military command changes within their units – by offering them the prospect of having state benefits.
  • Russian sources claimed that Russian forces continue to deploy Soviet-era military equipment from storage to the front line in Ukraine. Russian milbloggers Russian forces using armored personnel carriers produced in 1952. Vast equipment losses are likely constraining the Russian military’s ability to conduct large-scale mechanized maneuver warfare throughout Ukraine.
  • Russian officials have shortened the training period for medical professions to address shortages of medical workers in frontline areas.  Sources in the Russian medical field claimed that the training program will produce incompetent doctors and that mobilization intensified medical staffing shortages throughout Russian.
  • In order to replenish its large-scale casualties, russia continues covert mobilization.  In particular, in the oblasts of the Caucasus, there is an active forced mobilization of men of conscription age with the aim of sending them to participate in hostilities on the territory of Ukraine. All men are subject to mobilization, regardless of their health and willingness to fight. A large number of those mobilized are citizens who have served or are serving sentences in penitentiary institutions. Prisoners are released on condition of voluntary participation in hostilities on the territory of Ukraine.

General Staff’s Daily Video Digest with English subtitles

FINANCIAL TIMES: ISOLATED PUTIN SEES HIMSELF AS PETER THE GREAT

Above: Putin meeting with his military brass at the start of the invasion in February 2022. (El Pais)  

The Financial Times (paywalled) published an astounding piece in which Kremlin insiders describe the Russia leader’s decision to invade and how, today, his near complete isolation and paranoia of the West prevent him from accurately understanding the situation.

The story asserts that Russia’s foreign minister Lavrov didn’t learn of the invasion until a few hours before it started, catching him “completely by surprise.” Most senior leadership learned that Russia had started a war with Ukraine when they saw Putin announce it on television the morning of February 24.

A circle of elite oligarchs were called to the Kremlin. They felt that western sanctions would destroy their empires. “Everyone was losing it.”  When they pressed Lavrov for an explanation, he replied, “He has three advisers. Ivan the Terrible. Peter the Great. And Catherine the Great.”

Insiders said that Putin’s decision to invade was partly based on pro-Russian Ukrainian oligarch Viktor Medvedchuk’s assurance that Ukrainians would greet Russian invaders with bread and flowers.  The plan was to take Kyiv in three days, then have disgraced former president Yanukovych announce that he was bestowing the presidency on Medvedchuk.

the FBU, Russia’s reinvented KGB, backed the delusion with “intelligence”.  It reassured Putin that “victory was certain — and paid large sums in bribes to officials in Ukraine in the hope that this would guarantee success.”  Medvedchuk paid a network of collaborators to facilitate the attacks on Hostomel and Kherson.  “Most of Medvedchuk’s network, however, simply took the money and ran…”

Putin’s demands for loyalty over competence among his narrowing circle isolates him from the true conditions of his economy and his war. “The Russian president prizes loyalty over competence; is obsessive about secrecy to a fault; and presides over a bureaucratic culture where his underlings tell him what he wants to hear.”

On the one-year anniversary, Putin is starting to understand that things aren’t going well.  He has turned to “a cohort of ultranationalist bloggers who are critical of the military establishment” for consultations.  His calculation now is based on the hope that his will to wage war will outlast the West’s commitment to Ukraine.

GENERAL STAFF DAILY ENEMY LOSSES

Above: McGill University

Ukrainian General Staff of the Armed Forces estimated enemy losses since February 24, 2022 (with daily additions)

  • Liquidated personnel, 146,820 (+970)
  • Tanks, 3,363 (+13)
  • Armored personnel vehicles, 6,600 (+7)
  • Artillery systems/MLRS, 2,363/474 (+11/3)
  • Anti-aircraft warfare systems, 247 (+3)
  • Aircraft/helicopters, 299/287 (0)
  • UAV operational-tactical level, 2,033 (+4)
  • Cruise missiles, 873 (0)
  • Warships/boats, 18 (0)
  • Vehicles and fuel tanks, 5,224 (+9)
  • Special equipment, 229 (+1)

GENERAL STAFF CIVILIAN MISSILE STRIKES

Above: CNN

Glory to Ukraine!
Day 366 of the full-scale russian military aggression has begun.

  • The russian federation has been continuing its full-scale armed aggression against Ukraine for a year. Its main efforts are now focused on offensive operations on Kup’yan’sk, Lyman, Bakhmut, Avdiivka, and Shakhtars’k axes.
  • During the last 24 hours, Ukrainian defenders repelled about 100x enemy attacks.
  • At the same time, the russian invaders launched 10x missile and 31x air strikes, and conducted more than 40x MLRS attacks. These criminal actions have resulted in casualties among civilian population and damage to civilian objects in Kharkiv and Kherson
  • The vicinities of Senkivka, Yeline, Medvedivka, Leonivka, and Mikhalchyna Sloboda (Chernihiv oblast); Sopych, Korenyok, Hirky, Ryzhivka, Iskryskivshchyna, Volfyne, Oleksiivka, Vodolagi, Zapsillia, and Myropil’lya (Sumy oblast), as well as the vicinities of more than 22x settlements in Kharkiv oblast came under enemy mortar and artillery fire. These include Krasnaya Zora, Veterynarne, Strilecha, Lukyantsi, Vovchans’ki Khutary, Zemlyanyka, Ustinivka, Bologhivka, and Krasne Pershe. Moreover, russian combat helicopters attacked ground targets near Dvorichna and Ohirtseve.
  • Kup’yans’k and Lyman axes: the enemy carried out unsuccessful offensive actions in the vicinities of Stelmakhivka, Dibrova, Bilohorivka, Fedorivka, and Rozdolivka. The vicinities of more than 20x settlements came under enemy fire, in particular, Hryanykivka, Synkivka, Kup’yans’k, and Tabaivka (Kharkiv oblast); Novoselivka, Stelmakhivka, Makiivka, Yampol’, Nevs’ke, Dibrova, and Bilohorivka (Luhansk oblast); and Hryhorivka, Spirne, Berestove, Rozdolivka, and Fedorivka (Donetsk oblast).
  • The adversary conducted an air strike in the vicinities of Hryanykivka, Kotlyarivka, Krokhmal’ne (Kharkiv oblast); Serebryansk Forestry and Bilohorivka (Luhansk oblast). Spirne, Sacco and Vanzetti (Donetsk oblast) were also affected.
  • Bakhmut axis: the enemy attempted several unsuccessful offensives in the vicinities of Berkhivka, Bakhmut, Zaliznyans’ke, Ivanivs’ke, Chasiv Yar, Diliivka, and Vasylivka settlements. More than 20x settlements, in particular, Zaliznyans’ke, Berkhivka, Bakhmut, Chasiv Yar, Ivanivs’ke, Kurdyumivka, Mayors’k, Severne, Ivanopil’a, and Krasnohorivka (Donetsk oblast) suffered enemy attacks.
  • Avdiivka and Shakhtars’k axes: russian occupiers attempted unsuccessful attacks in the vicinities of Vodyane, Nevels’ke, Novomykhailivka, and Prechistivka. About 25x settlements came under enemy artillery fire, including, Novobakhmutivka, Avdiivka, Berdychi, Orlivka, Pervomais’ke, Krasnohorivka, Heorgiivka, Mar’yinka, Novomykhailivka, Vuhledar and Prechistivka.
  • Zaporizhzhia axis: more than 25x settlements suffered artillery fire. Among them – Vremivka, Novopil (Donetsk oblast); Zelene Pole, Olhivske, Poltavka, Charivne, Novodanilivka, Orihiv, Kam’yans’ke, Lukyanivs’ke, Stepnogris’k, and Pavlivs’ke (Zaporizhzhia oblast); as well as Marganets, Chervonohryhorivka and Nikopol (Dnipropetrovsk oblast).
  • Kherson axis: The vicinities of more than 30x settlements, including, Mykhailivka, Havrylivka, Beryslav, Vesele, Odradokamyanka, Mykolaivka, Krynky, Novotyaginka, Kherson, and Zimivnyk (Kherson oblast) suffered russian artillery attacks.

Believe in the Armed Forces! Together we will win! Glory to Ukraine!

KHARKIV-LUHANSK

Above:  March of Unity, Kharkiv, Feb 5, 2022. (Ukrainska Pravda)

  • Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks near Svatove on February 23. Russian forces conducted unsuccessful offensive operations near Stelmakhivka (15km west of Svatove).Geolocated footage published on February 23 shows Ukrainian forces striking Russian positions north of Novovodiane (15km south of Svatove), indicating a limited Russian advance along the Svatove-Kreminna line.
  • Russian forces conducted limited ground attacks near Kreminna on February 23. Russian forces carried out unsuccessful offensive operations near Kreminna itself, Bilohorivka (10km south of Kreminna), and in the Serebrianske forest area (10km south of Kreminna).
  • Ukrainian Luhansk Oblast Head Serhiy Haidai stated that Russian forces are prioritizing the Kreminna direction and that fighting along the frontline has largely died down due to Russian forces sustaining heavy losses.

DONETSK

Above: Kramatorsk, Donetsk, one year ago.  (Kramatorsk City Council)

  • Wagner Group announced that the Russian MoD fulfilled its complete artillery ammunition request on February 23.
  • Geolocated footage confirms that Russian forces have made incremental advances in the eastern, southern, and southwestern sectors of Bakhmut.  Russian troops continue to assault Ukrainian positions in Bakhmut itself, northwest of Bakhmut near Orikhovo-Vasylivka (8km northwest), Dubovo-Vasylivka (5km northwest), Berkhivka (2km northwest), Maloiliinivka (on the northern tip of Bakhmut), and Yahidne (directly on the northwestern outskirts of Bakhmut); southwest of Bakhmut near Dylivka (16km southwest); and west of Bakhmut near Ivanviske (5km west).
  • Russian forces had increased their activity in the Avdiivka and Vuhledar Russian troops are attacking in assault groups of 10 to 15 people and in mechanized units at or below the battalion level. Russian forces conducted 43 unsuccessful attacks in this area over the past day, particularly near Avdiivka itself and northeast of Avdiivka near Novobakhmutivka (10km northeast of Avdiivka) and Kamianka (3km northeast). Geolocated footage shows that Russian forces have made marginal advances north of Avdiivka in the Novobakhmutivka area.
  • Russian forces continued ground attacks along the western outskirts of Donetsk City on February 23. Russian troops continue attacking Ukrainian positions on the northwestern outskirts of Donetsk City near Nevelske and Vodyane; and on the southwestern outskirts of Donetsk City near Marinka, Pobieda, and Novomykhailivka. Geolocated footage shows that Russian forces have advanced to Pobieda, indicating that Russian troops have likely made additional gains south of Marinka in order to reach the Pobieda area.
  • Russian forces continued ground attacks southwest of Donetsk City in the Vuhledar area on February 23. Russian troops attacked Russian positions near Vuhledar (30km southwest of Donetsk City) and Prechystivka (35km southwest of Donetsk City) and that elements of the 155th Naval Infantry Brigade in this area are refusing to fight due to recently failed operations.

ZAPORIZHZHYA-KHERSON-CRIMEA

Above: Kherson residents continued to defiantly march against the occupiers throughout March 2022, weeks after the city was taken.  (Reuters)

Video: Kherson will be free! Protests across southern Ukraine last winter against the occupiers. 

  • Russian forces continue to reinforce their positions in east (left) bank Kherson Oblast. Ukrainian Kherson Oblast Military Administration Advisor Serhiy Khlan stated that Russian forces are deploying new equipment near Kakhovka and Nova Kakhovka.
  • Russian authorities announced that they completed the repair of the automobile lanes of the Kerch Strait Bridge ahead of schedule on February 23. Russian authorities will restore the damaged railroad section of the Kerch Strait by December 1, 2023.

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