War analysts see the possibility that the Russian war on Ukraine will enter a protracted phase much like the last eight years of low simmering Russian aggression. In this scenario, Russia struggles to make even the smallest offensive gains while Ukraine lacks the firepower to offensively push the invader out. Ukraine’s offensive capabilities hinge largely on the West’s willingness to supply heavy weapons. Photo via 19fortyfive
Russia’s false propaganda narrative that the Azovstal defenders were bloodthirsty satanists who murdered their own people has put the Kremlin in a box concerning the disposition of defenders removed from Azovstal. Preliminary agreements to trade the defenders in future prisoner exchanges has drawn outrage from the Russian propaganda echo chamber. Photo via Reuters
The EU announced a EUR 210 billion plan to end the importation of Russian energy – thus financing of Russian aggression – over the next five years. Moscow currently supplies forty percent of EU gas and twenty-seven percent of imported oil. Photo via TNN
In a move certainly applauded by the Kremlin, Croatia has joined Turkey in opposing NATO enlargement to include Finland and Sweden until it receives EU concessions on regional election laws. Each NATO member, regardless of contribution, gets an equal vote and veto power over membership.
Russian occupiers of the southern Ukrainian oblast are shelling their own occupied territory, launching then shooting down their own missiles over civilian areas to claim that Ukraine is attacking its own people. Photo via Mykhailo Fedorov